It’s more helpful if you show a vid where you actually lost, when all we can see is you hitting a guy again and again there’s less to critique.
Your combos are pretty good, although you missed a couple I’m sure you know.
Right at the start you punish the whiffed DP with RH, Cr.Fierce leads to more damage I’m pretty sure, and he was close enough to do it. When it’s at long range it’s best to do RH, dash, mk~mp etc. but there you could have got a Cr.Fierce combo.
Your jump at 28s was bad. It’s fair enough to jump in most of the time if people arent gonna AA well, but even if he hadnt moved i dont think RH would have hit him (maybe though, looks close). I think you need to be extra careful with Rog in this situation as he doesn’t have a crossup. I still jump way too much myself though lol.
Your Cr.Fierce AAs are good too.
At the start of R2 if you wait a bit longer you can punish hurricane kick with much more (Cr Fierce etc.)
Edit: lol just realised you didn’t ask for feedback or anything. Haha, if you’re bothered by this I don’t mind deleting my post