First match vs Deejay: Way too much jumping, way too much sweeping, doesn’t seem like you know the match that well. You didn’t throw out too many fireballs when he had meter, great, but you kept throwing out low pokes when he was in safe sobat kicks range. I’m not really sure what you should be doing, try stand forward. Sweeps should be limited, too. You get punished a lot because you are throwing them out randomly in the hopes of whiff punishing. Almost every character in the game can ultra Ryu’s sweep on block, a lot of them don’t even need to have very quick reactions to do it. When you’re playing footsies, sweep if you think you can, but you have to rely on cr. forward (xx fireball).
Vs Blanka: Well right off the bat, that was wrong spacing for roundhouse as an AA. It’s good that you know to go for it, but you gotta learn your spacings, if you can dp it, you should almost always be doing that instead. Same problem with sweeps, you lost most of your life getting whiffed punished on sweep that first round. You didn’t jump as much, but this time the problem is you aren’t AAing, so you’re letting him get pressure for free. Against blanka, you need to throw a bit more fireballs when he’s got no ex bar, and less when he does. You also gotta be careful stand teching his hop shenanigans, incase he frame traps. Good reactions on what I can only assume is a mashed out dp. Mashing correctly is also something you can practise.
Vs Guile: This guy was bad. Terrible even. After the first round I could see you’d caught onto his “strategy”, but you still couldn’t figure out what to do about it. Some of this is character specific knowledge, but you are missing important combos. With three bars, you could have done about half his health. You should at least be able to cr forward xx tatsu after he whiffs a flash kick. The first thing you gotta realise about Guiles online is that they mostly suck. They are going to jump a lot, sweep a lot, and flash kick a lot. So what do you need to do? You need to look into what you can do against those things. That’s for later, though, when you’re improving on your own, so I’ll tell you now. You had some okay AAs at the end there, like I said, you have good reactions. That comes with a problem though, and that’s that they were too fast. You hit him too early. You gotta wait a fraction to get the full damage off the AA. Guile also has no jump ins to beat a late strong srk, so you can just use regular and save that bar for fadc ultra (which I hope you know). Flash kick, you gotta just figure out when they like to spam it. A lot of them will just do it when you walk towards them with charge, most low level guiles will ALWAYS do it after a block sweep. Finally, the sweep. You can mash srk between the hits, or just focus ONE of the hits, and then combo. Practise one of these.
Vs Juri: Sweep punish/footsies still in full force, but your AA has suddenly become much better: Well done! You gotta keep practising that. I’ve noticed when you jump in, it’s always with roundhouse, and you always do it early. That makes it far easier for people to AA you. You should also vary what you’re attacking with, Ryu’s fierce is powerful, forward and short cross up easily, strong has two hits, breaking focus. Practise your meaty fireball time, if you’re going to do them too. Nice effort though. Don’t see many beginner Ryu’s doing that.
Okay, at around 7:20 Juri is just standing there. You have the life lead, the meter lead, and she is doing nothing. You need to evaluate what’s happening. Why is she waiting? Does she want you to come to her? Is that a good plan for you? No? Then wait. Does she want to just sit there? Do you have a life lead? Just wait. Does she want you to throw a fireball? Will that help you? Maybe, but it might be what she wants (again, character knowledge here, dive kick and her teleport thing). So you do not throw a fireball. She has to either walk in (time to throw a fireball or a footsies) or dive in (AA again).
In the last round, you jumped like crazy. And you know what? It worked. Sometimes you just have to ignore convention if you feel like you got a read on someone. And as soon as she AA’d you, you cut that shit out. That was smart.
A note on bad Juri players: They will do random pinwheels all the time, because they think they are safe (for some reason). They can be safe from certain ranges, but mostly it’s like Kens doing jab dp ex dp because hurr online. Something you need to be wary of, practise you punishes.
Vs Blanka 2: Electric Bugaloo: Okay, immediately you missed dping the up ball. I can’t tell you ever facet of every match you’ll play, but that is easily punished and lands in zero frames (I think, you can’t punish him when he lands). This is better so far. Cr forward xx hadoken, air to airs (ground to airs are better, but damage is damage, and you’re telling him not to jump), less sweeps, the jumps you are doing are pretty solid.
Time for another random thing I’ve noticed, you don’t mash dp on your wakeup. That’s awesome, most people will expect. The problem is that you are getting jumped at on your wakeup, and I don’t think any of them have been safejumps. If you can recognise when something isn’t safe, mash like fucking crazy. The one I’m looking at specifically is around 9:00 in.
Speaking of safe jumps, it’s something you really need to be doing as Ryu. He’s got probably the easiest one in the game (learn them for both his throws aswell). After a sweep, hold up forward. This is a four frame safe jump, so it beats everyone that isn’t zangief/oiled hakan/thawk/ken/ryu/akuma/seth with meter, as far as I’m aware. A lot of people will mash, and if they don’t you can throw/cr forward xx fireball/whatever.
Blanka’s U1 is character specific again. Point blank you need to block low high mid. Further away (which you were), just block standing.
I hope this run through of your matches does not sound too harsh, you have a lot more going for you than most Ryus of your level, you really just gotta practise the basics more.
Also your very editing is pretty top notch. Wish I could do that, can’t work fraps for shit.
And do forgive the rambly parts, I was writing as I wrote.