Chun really isn’t worth it in this meta I don’t think. You would need someone with punks ability to really make her work. Like you NEED to hit the fmp ex legs CH conversion and you NEED to be able to confirm cr.mk into legs consistently. Even if you can do those things, that’s not all you need. It enough ex meter to do that all day so you also NEED to have some/or a good amount of the oki situations to go your way.
Without those confirms and without good conversions on your oki, Chun is just pushing shit uphill.
She still has the 3 deadly problems:
No tick throw
Free as fuck to fireballs
People can just baxkaway from her pressure basically for free if she’s not in cr.mk range.
Me personally if I could do it, my strategy would be to poke from midrange like most chuns do, but use the cr.mk confirm once she gets in. That will make people not want to back away from her as much and open up her CH/throw game.
The key here is to not waste the confirm on neutral buffers or neutral confirms. To much goes on in neutral for her to really get the mindgames going from doing it there. She really needs for that upclose pressure to be better and more consistent so use the confirm only on upclose offense.
She’s still got more latent power than what what was shown in this tournie, but not THAT much more unless people can make her upclose offense better. I mean this is a character that is trying to poke against fireballs… that’s just not going to get the W, unless the chun player can neutralise the fireball game somehow or make her offense so good that once she gets that one chance to get past the fireball she makes it count better than she is currently doing.