UMVC3 and SFXT are a given, so let’s talk about the rest.
I’m going to express my opinion which you may or may not agree with and by all means I want to hear your arguments if you disagree, but keep this honest and not just based on your personal preference.
Will SFXT lure the player base of the next SF4?
It really depends on how SFxT turns out.
When MVC3 it stole a lot of the SF4 player base and got more entrants at tournaments because it’s really fun and not dry, but later when the game turned out to be more “lol random” then we thought then the numbers became pretty even with SF4.
If SFxT will be as fun as MVC3 but not as silly, I could see it taking SF4’s spot.
Will SkullGirls get enough support from the community to make it into evo?
I hope so, but to be honest, the game is going to struggle with the usual bias against “all girl fighters” “animu fighter” “it doesn’t have Ryu in it” type of games.
The biggest problem that cripples FG in the west is not being a super familiar brand like SF, MK, Marvel comics etc.
Even if SkullGirls will be the best game of this generation, we are going to have to work extremely hard to push it, and the higher management of SRK will also have to help promoting it or it will never work.
Will MK9 survive the biggest test for it’s community, the “post-evo” era?
I don’t see this happening unless more people will start promoting the game like it’s their 2nd job like Tom Brady, Pig of The Hut and other key members do.
But even then, the problem relies in the fact that many of the big issues in the game cannot be fixed without making MK10 with a new engine and that won’t happen.
So basically the community is stuck pushing a flawed game that will still have some trouble making a serious impression on the rest of the FGC.
Will the Shift Continue?
I think the community can make BlazBlue stay, the question is the timing of the new version. If it hits console early enough we’ll be able to play “CS3” at Evo and all will be well. If we’ll have to play CS2 while watching the Japanese play CS3 in the arcades, you know it will be just like when we gave up on the official spot in the CT era.
Fate of The Iron Fist?
Same issue with Blazblue but with no optimism at all. TTT2 is not just an upgrade but a highly anticipated new installment. It will be exclusive to arcades for at least a year if not more, and if you know Namco’s history post 5.0 you know I’m right. So the community will enter a coma having to play T6 while the Asians and few lucky Americans play TTT2, and Evo, being 10 times larger ever since Capcom started the western FG boom, cannot afford to themselves to have hypeless Tekken tournaments like they did with 5.0. So I think Tekken will not be at Evo2012 but will comeback in full force to 2013 with a console TTT2.
13th Time a Charm?
I don’t want to shit on your parade but it ain’t happening. As much as I love being open minded to every fighting game out there, and as much as I respect people who are passionate about their favorite game and work their ass off to promote it, I really think KOF13 will not be very successful.
I’m not dissing the game itself, just the fact that SNK is unable make something that will be popular in larger circles than usual niche fanbase. Side tournament? Ok cool. Main game? Forget it.
Arucana Haato Sreeeeeee?
It’s cool being bitter and hating on Mr.Wiz with the whole “move on” fiasco, but reality speaks for itself. I expected to see some form of revival of interest after the game became accessible via PSN for a low price, but It seems like other games have stolen his spotlight.
Again another tragic tale of a great game that is 100 times harder to promote just because of its aesthetics. 0% chance of being a main game@Evo.
The Third Strike is what counts?
I’m gonna get flamed for this but no, 3S:OE will not be a main game at Evo2012.
Capcom has proven to us that they will push the big games hard into our throats but will ignore their own smaller games. They don’t care about HDR, MVC2HD prior to the sales aspect, and they will not care about the current small project 3S:OE. It will sell pretty well and that’s that. I think Goryus’ team is doing a great job, just like I thought Sirlin’s team did with HDR, but in the end 3S is still an old stale game. People tend to think that it will bring back an age of glory from the past, but after it comes out, the top tier fest will remind us why most people stopped caring about this a long time ago. It won’t be long until the top 8 at tournaments will be at least 6 Chuns.(Arcade perfect=slower=easier to hitconfirm dat c.mk SA2)
A 5th Tale of Souls and Swords?
The chance is there but it’s sooooooooooo slim, considering the track record of the series.
It will have to blow our minds with VF quality or some shit, which probably won’t happen.