Mixups after HK tatsu?



So My BNB with oni is c.lk~c.lp - back mp-hp(target combo) HK tatsu the crossup mk will trick my opponent the first time but for some reason i cant do anything to make them guess and hit them in the front…I like to play oni alot like a traditional shoto, and take the jump in this situation rather than do palm ect…Do you guys have any 50/50 from jumping after HK tatsu?