Most of you are already aware Capcom expects 2 million worldwide sales of Marvel vs Capcom 3 by March 31st.
Judging by pre-order numbers, I think Capcom could hit their target.
In America only, current pre-orders are as follows: 115,600 (PS3) and 89,647 (360). Assuming pre-orders grow the same amount they did as the previous week for each console in the final week before release, final pre-order numbers should look something like this:
Final Pre-order Numbers: 135,600 (PS3) and 107,647 (360)
Pre-orders usually only account for half of first week sales, so you generally see about a 100% bump over the pre-order number. This means first week sales should be around: 271,200 (PS3) and 215,294 (360)
Total First Week sales: 486,494
As history shows, the game will drop about -50% in the second week.
Total second week sales: 243,247
Then about -10% in the third week. DLC will help the fourth week’s sales to remain steady without another -10% drop.
Total Third Week Sales: 219,247
Total Fourth Week Sales: 219,247
Then another -10% in the fifth and sixth week.
Total Fifth Week Sales: 198,247
Total Six Week Sales: 179,247
Total U.S. sales by end of fiscal year: 1,545,729
“Give or take” depending on what final pre-order numbers end up being this week.
So, as long as Europe and Japan sales total at least 500,000 in the same 6 weeks period (which is a fair estimate since Marvel vs Capcom was never really popular outside of America) Capcom will hit their target.
That’s my prediction anyway, whats yours?