For Vega, just avoid the urge to poke or focus him, he will beat you out every time. Don’t rely on cr.HP either, his jump in tends to beat it. Rely more on nuetral/back jump mp/mk. This will beat his jump ins and wall dive. You can probably focus his jump in and dive too, but don’t expect a crumple too often. You mainly wanna use it to confuse, pressure, or escape.
I find the key to beating a Vega is knowing his block string. After the quick jabs, he’ll probably try a longer slow medium punch before you’re out of block range. After which, he has several options, and this is where all Vegas differ.
-He will jump back in and repeat
*Beat with neutral jump
-He will sit on his charge and wait for you to do something stupid (like jump in)
*Don’t be stupid, just turtle him out, he can’t do much
-He will slide forward
*Punish on block, or focus it… be ready for a tech throw too
-He will forward kick (df+HK)… which usually results in a throw attempt if blocked.
*Option Select Throw
Once you get a knockdown is where the match changes heavily for Vega. Get in his face and don’t let up. His flip isn’t safe, you can just follow him to the corner and apply more pressure (mainly with mk->shouken). His scarlet terror is slightly better, but still no srk, cross him up.
When he has ultra, and you see him flip to full screen, don’t fall for it by throwing a fireball =_=;.
Once you know what he likes to do, that’s where you’ll get your chance to attack.