Anyone who follows professional sports knows that stats have become a central facet of postgame analysis. Personally i watch basketball and i don’t believe modern statistics are a reliable metric for guaging performance, but they can certainly be fun to browse. In that spirit, i thought it might be cool for us to present and discuss some numbers gathered from tournament match replays.

With everything SF4 has done to revitalize our community, it seems like a good place to start. My friend **omni** and i were discussing Ryu’s Ultra, and i started wondering how important it was for him to be able to land it. So i looked through every match between Evo2k9 SF4 finalists **Daigo Umehara** and **Justin Wong**, since Daigo stuck with Ryu the entire time. Here’s what i found:

Daigo (Ryu) vs Justin (Abel/Balrog)

total number of rounds: 29

rounds Ryu won: 16

rounds Ryu lost: 13

total number of times Ryu lands ultra: 7

number of times Ryu lands ultra and wins round: 5

number of rounds Ryu wins without landing ultra: 11

number of times Ryu lands ultra and still loses round: 2

number of times Ryu lands ultra more than once in a round: 0

Ryu ultra setups:

antiair LP DP: 0

antiair DP FADC: 2

ground DP FADC: 3

EX fireball FADC: 1

air to air j.MP: 0

ground combo into ultra: 1

(source: http://www.ustream.tv/recorded/1840331)

Keep in mind that Justin used Abel against Daigo when they first met in Winner’s Bracket. After losing both matches and the first match of Grand Finals, he switched to Balrog. Below are the stats for each character matchup.

Ryu vs Abel

total number rounds: 8

rounds Ryu won: 6

rounds Ryu lost: 2

total number of times Ryu lands ultra: 1

number of times Ryu lands ultra and wins round: 1

number of rounds Ryu wins without landing ultra: 5

number of times Ryu lands ultra and still loses round: 0

Ryu vs Balrog

total number rounds: 21

rounds Ryu won: 10

rounds Ryu lost: 11

total number of times Ryu lands ultra: 6

number of times Ryu lands ultra and wins round: 4

number of rounds Ryu wins without landing ultra: 6

number of times Ryu lands ultra and still loses round: 2

Discuss? I dunno, i was expecting to see Ryu landing an ultra in almost every round but that clearly wasn’t the case. Maybe someone can do the same thing from Balrog’s perspective because he seemed to win via ultra finish a lot more frequently.